What’s the difference between a horse racing bettor and a football betting policy?
The bettor consistently makes a profit. หนังโรแมนติก
A football betting strategy consistently makes a loss.
What’s the difference between a system that makes a profit and one that constantly makes a loss?
Anyone can make a profit at betting. Where’s the hard work? Identifying the greatest game to bet on? lime-green condition? Zero.
To ascertain what game merits your hard-earned betting capital, you should consistently use the same factors.
You should never have your wallet willier than your pocket.
Location, location, location. หนังต่อสู้
This is the most common area of constraint for bettors and one which consistently returns a profit to the client.
Getting to the bottom of the game’s outcome is challenging, to say the least.
Betting on the home team is a given.
v. Playing the other team’s home game is challenging because the other team plays in a different stadium than you’re used to.
Yet, assessing the home team’s chances is fairly straightforward.
Statistically speaking, playing a team in their own stadium at home against the home crowd gives the home team about a 53 percent probability of winning (and the alternative based on the point spread – nearly half).
In other words, the more people you guess to be supporting a particular team, the more your chances of winning that bet are about 53 percent.
v. Playing the other team’s home field gives the other team a greater probability of winning (and the alternative based on the point spread – nearly half). หลุดทางบ้าน
If the home team is less popular, Vegas will pay out more money. That’s the nature of the beast.
v. The crowd is more energized (and the players are better).
Sometimes the guessing game can be improved, if the home team is much more motivated.
As an example, let’s say the home team, in order to gain a yard advantage, trots out a quarterback well before the opposing team.
Volunteers are by no means the most talented football team in the league, but they know they are better than their opponent.
If the home team is more eager to get out of the gate, out of the gate they may well get clobbered and the home team interceptions will increase.
Guess who’s more likely to make a play that day?
v. Weather plays a very important role. สวิงกิ้ง
You can’t run in a rainstorm, but almost every professional football team lives in a city that lives in a hurricane or forest.
If the home team is practicing in a dome, they can get practice times during the hurricane.
Practice in the rain and you will get a better feel for the capability of the home team.
Even if it’s not high scoring, almost every good NFL team practices in the rain and almost every bad team practices in a dome (at a high school level!).
Astute handicappers will watch for the opportunities and exploit the respective lines. หีนักเรียน
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